Fact: According to the latest Rasmussen poll released Saturday July 12, and promptly headlined by the Drudge Report, “The race for the White House is tied. The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Saturday shows Barack Obama and John McCain each attract 43% of the vote.” Newsweek is reporting a similar result in its own poll, with Obama moving down and McCain up (“Obama, McCain in Statistical Dead Heat“), and other polls increasingly show a similarly close race.
Analysis: I’ve been tracking the growing divide between two quite different methods purporting to offer statistical predictive analysis for the November presidential election. Polls are saying one thing, but Prediction Markets are saying another.
Filed under: Government, Intelligence, Microsoft, R&D, Society, Technology | Tagged: Barack Obama, campaign, campaigns, Clinton, DARPA, daytraders, daytradign, daytrading, Democrat, Democratic, Democratic Convention, Democrats, election, faculty, falsifiability, future, futures, futurology, gamblers, gambling, game theory, gaming, Google, Google Research, Hillary Clinton, history of science, Huffington Post, Imre Lakatos, Intelligence, Intelligence Community, Intrade, James Surowiecki, John McCain, Karl Popper, life, math, mathematics, McCain, media, Microsoft, Microsoft Research, MidasOracle, NASCAR, news, NewsFutures, Obama, online gambling, philosophy of science, political, political campaigns, Political Science, politics, poll, polls, pollsters, prediction, prediction markets, professors, psychology, Rasmussen, Republican, science, scientific, sociology, Stanford, Thomas Edsall, Thomas Kuhn, TIA, Wilco, William F. Buckley, wisdom of the crowd, Yahoo | 3 Comments »



Invisibility, Mind-Control, Great Coffee, and a New OS
http://www.MojaveExperiment.com
Lots of interest and blogoshere commentary beginning about “The Mojave Experiment.”
The reaction is reminiscent of one of those Obama or McCain provocative ads posted online, generating far more attention and buzz than the attention they get on the natural by being broadcast.
Sure, it’s a sales pitch, and pretty narrowly geeky at that (thanks GoogleFight!).
But at least it’s an innovative one – as the Wall Street Journal puts it today, “Give Microsoft people credit: They did it with humor, and they weren’t afraid to air the negative stuff.”
Continue reading →
Share this post on
Filed under: Microsoft, Society, Technology | Tagged: ad, ads, advertising, BBC, blogosphere, blogs, business, buzz, Chumbawumba, Coffee, comment, commercials, conspiracy, conspiracy theory, Eldridge, experiment, Folgers, fraud, GoogleFight, invisibility, marketing, McCain, Microsoft, Milgram, Milgram Experiment, mind control, Mojave Experiment, Navy, news, Obama, Philadelphia Experiment, Philip Zimbardo, political ad, politics, pop culture, psychology, reality show, reality shows, reality TV, science, Silverlight, Stanford, Stanford Experiment, Stanford University, Stanley Milgram, TV, Vista, Wall Street Journal, Wikipedia, Yale, Zimbardo, Zimbardo Experiment | 1 Comment »